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Evolution of voting intentions during the 2018 Ontario provincial election campaign. Trendlines are local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and sample size.
95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the regressions, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
National Post columnist Josh Dehaas suggested that the small population sizes of the ridings might violate the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms.
Under legislation passed in 2005, Ontario elections were to be held on "the first Thursday in October in the fourth calendar year following polling day in the most recent general election," subject to the Lieutenant-Governor of Ontario's power to call an election earlier.
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Ontario Provincial Police announce charges under the provincial act against Gerry Lougheed and Patricia Sorbara (CEO and director of the 2018 Liberal campaign) for alleged bribery during a 2015 byelection.
Second televised debate, moderated by Steve Paikin and Farah Nasser, held at the Canadian Broadcasting Centre in Toronto and aired on CBC, CTV, Global, TVO, CPAC, CHCH and other outlets. According to Toronto Star columnist Susan Delacourt, voters are motivated by a desire for change—such desire being more driven by emotion than by ideology—and one researcher has estimated that more than half of the electorate was undecided in who they were likely to vote for.
The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario will attempt to win their first election since 1999, and the Ontario New Democratic Party will attempt to win their second election (having previously won in 1990).
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